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在股王长鑫背后 小米和蔚来要开打算力战?

作者:杨杰 文章来源:虎嗅APP

2026-07-28 11:23

作者:杨杰 文章来源:虎嗅APP

2026-07-28 11:23

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本文核心讲国产存储龙头长鑫科技科创板上市,小米、蔚来、奇瑞三家车企战略入股的行业事件,核心干货信息如下:

1.长鑫科技是国内少数实现DRAM规模化量产的IDM企业,全球DRAM排名第四,上市发行价8.66元,开盘暴涨471.59%,总市值达3.31万亿元,成为A股新市值一哥,背后汇集了国内从上游设备到下游终端的核心科技企业。

2.三家涉及整车制造的企业各出资1.58亿元,各获配约1824万股,锁定期18个月,投资核心不是赚取股价浮盈,而是拿到长鑫车规级存储芯片的优先供应权,提前卡位布局保障智能汽车的供应链安全。

3.本次投资也存在风险:DRAM是典型强周期行业,当前市场已经给出极致增长预期,未来产业波动可能影响企业收益,优先供应权的实际效力、车规产品大规模量产进度都仍待验证。

本文围绕长鑫科技上市、三家车企战略入股事件,梳理了智能汽车品牌在当前产业环境下的布局逻辑,核心干货如下:

1.消费与产业趋势:当前智能汽车已经从“四个轮子加沙发”转向“四个轮子加超级计算机”,算力相关核心部件成为品牌核心竞争力,存储芯片已经成为智能座舱、自动驾驶的核心刚需,品牌需要提前卡位布局。

2.供应链布局经验:当前全球DRAM市场95%以上被海外三家厂商垄断,国产替代背景下,品牌提前绑定本土头部存储厂商,可提前锁定产能,应对未来供应短缺和涨价风险,降低供应链不确定性。

3.可借鉴的布局思路:依托地理区位邻近,可大幅降低车规芯片适配验证的沟通成本,提升效率;主动融入地方核心产业战略,加入本土“整车+芯片”产业闭环,更容易获得优质合作机会。同时要注意存储行业强周期波动等风险。

本文梳理了智能汽车与芯片融合背景下,行业的机会、风险与可动作方向,核心干货如下:

1.政策与产业机会:安徽等地方已经将芯片+新能源汽车定为核心产业战略,打造了“本土整车+本土芯片”的产业闭环,位于相关产业带的从业者可获得更多政策与产业协同的机会。

2.需求变化与机会:智能汽车升级带动车规级DRAM需求爆发,国产存储芯片替代空间巨大,提前布局绑定本土供应链的玩家,将在未来供应紧张时获得明显竞争优势,可应对内存涨价带来的成本压力。

3.风险提示:DRAM属于典型强周期行业,产能和价格波动大;车规级芯片认证周期长、验证成本高,长鑫车规级产品大规模量产仍待验证,战略配售带来的优先供应权实际效力也存在不确定性,相关从业者需要谨慎评估风险,做好长期布局规划。

本文分析了智能汽车时代,整车及零部件工厂的布局方向与商业机会,核心干货如下:

1.产品生产需求变化:智能汽车对算力要求不断提升,车规级存储芯片已经成为核心零部件,对存储芯片的性能、稳定性、供应稳定性的要求大幅提高,工厂需要提前将供应链适配纳入整体生产研发规划。

2.商业机会:当前国产存储芯片替代进程加快,本土整车制造工厂通过资本绑定本土头部存储厂商,可获得车规芯片的优先供应权,提前卡位下一代智能汽车的竞争;依托地理邻近,还能大幅降低联合技术攻关、适配验证的成本,提升问题解决效率。

3.产业启示:工厂可积极融入地方核心产业生态布局,依托产业集群降低协作成本,通过资本绑定深化供应链合作,从源头降低供应链不确定性,规避核心部件卡脖子风险。同时要关注存储行业强周期波动的特点,做好长期布局规划,预留调整空间。

本文梳理了智能汽车芯片供应链的行业趋势、客户痛点与可行方向,核心干货如下:

1.行业发展趋势:智能汽车产业升级带动车规级存储芯片需求快速增长,国产存储芯片替代进程加速,本土芯片厂商与整车企业的产业协同生态正在形成,围绕车规芯片适配、供应链保障的相关服务需求会持续增长。

2.核心客户痛点:车规级芯片存在认证周期长、验证成本高、供应不稳定的问题,当前全球DRAM市场被海外厂商高度垄断,车企普遍面临未来内存涨价、供应短缺的风险,核心部件卡脖子问题亟待解决。

3.可行解决方案:可推动区域产业集群建设,依托地理邻近降低芯片适配验证的沟通和时间成本;推动上下游企业通过资本绑定深化协同,帮助车企提前锁定产能供应,解决供应链不稳定的痛点。同时需要关注存储行业强周期波动和车规产品量产的不确定性,做好风险应对。

本文透露出芯片与整车融合发展背景下,产业平台的需求、布局方向与风险规避思路,核心干货如下:

1.产业对平台的需求:当前芯片与整车协同研发中,车规芯片适配验证周期长、成本高,地理邻近的产业集群平台,能够大幅降低沟通成本,提升联合攻关效率,解决验证周期长的痛点。

2.平台布局与招商方向:地方产业平台可围绕芯片、新能源汽车等核心战略,打造本土“芯片+整车”的产业闭环,吸引上下游核心企业入驻,形成差异化的产业协同优势,提升招商吸引力;还可以推动本土资本参与上下游企业绑定,深化产业协同,提升整个集群的竞争力。

3.风险规避方向:平台布局芯片相关产业需要关注DRAM的强周期属性,避免在行业高峰时期过度高估增长空间,需要引导入驻企业做好周期应对规划;同时要关注车规级芯片量产验证的不确定性,避免过早过度投入,预留调整空间。

本文披露了国内智能汽车与芯片产业融合的最新动向,提出了值得研究的新问题,核心干货如下:

1.产业新动向:国产DRAM龙头长鑫科技成功上市,标志着国产存储芯片替代进入新的发展阶段;小米、蔚来、奇瑞三家整车企业通过战略配售绑定本土存储厂商,开启了算力主权时代车企核心供应链的卡位竞赛;地方政府打造“本土整车+本土芯片”产业闭环的产业布局模式已经成型,推动两大万亿产业深度融合。

2.值得研究的新问题:当前全球DRAM市场高度垄断,车规级存储已经成为智能汽车产业的核心卡点,战略配售获得的优先供应权实际效力如何,本土存储芯片能否如期实现车规级大规模量产,强周期行业该如何应对波动等问题,都值得深入研究。

3.政策与商业模式启示:地方政府通过构建本土产业生态、引导上下游协同推动产业融合的模式,以及资本绑定加产业协同的供应链合作新模式,都值得研究者进一步总结和探讨。

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Quick Summary

This article centers on the industry event that CXMT, China’s leading domestic memory chipmaker, launched its IPO on the Shanghai STAR Market, with three Chinese automakers — Xiaomi, Nio, and Chery — taking strategic stakes. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. CXMT is one of the few domestic IDM firms that have achieved mass production of DRAM chips, ranking fourth globally in DRAM market share. The company priced its IPO at 8.66 RMB per share, and jumped 471.59% on its trading debut, pushing its total market capitalization to 3.31 trillion RMB, making it the largest listed company by market cap in the A-share market. Its shareholder base includes leading Chinese tech players spanning the entire supply chain from upstream equipment to downstream end products.

2. Each of the three automakers invested 158 million RMB to subscribe for approximately 18.24 million CXMT shares, with a 18-month lock-up period. Their investment is not aimed at short-term paper gains, but rather at securing priority access to CXMT’s automotive-grade memory chips, as an early strategic move to secure supply chain resilience for their intelligent vehicle businesses.

3. Risks accompany this trend: DRAM is a notoriously cyclical industry, and the market has already priced in extremely high growth expectations, meaning future industry volatility may hurt corporate returns. In addition, the actual effectiveness of the priority supply agreements and the timeline for mass production of CXMT’s automotive-grade products remain unproven.

This article analyzes the strategic logic behind intelligent vehicle brands’ layout against the backdrop of CXMT’s IPO and the three automakers’ strategic stake acquisition. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Consumer and industry trends: Today’s intelligent vehicles have evolved from "four wheels plus a sofa" to "four wheels plus a supercomputer." Core computing-related components have become a core source of competitive advantage for brands, and memory chips are now a core necessity for intelligent cockpits and autonomous driving, requiring brands to secure strategic positions early.

2. Supply chain strategy lessons: More than 95% of the global DRAM market is controlled by three overseas players. Against the backdrop of domestic substitution, early strategic ties with leading local memory manufacturers allow brands to lock in production capacity in advance, mitigate future risks of supply shortages and price hikes, and reduce supply chain uncertainty.

3. Actionable strategic insights: Geographic proximity can significantly cut communication costs for automotive-grade chip adaptation and validation, improving efficiency. Proactively integrating into local core industrial strategies and joining the localized "vehicle + chip" industrial ecosystem also helps brands access high-quality partnership opportunities. Brands should also keep in mind the cyclical volatility of the memory industry when planning.

This article outlines the opportunities, risks and actionable steps for industry players against the backdrop of growing integration between intelligent vehicles and semiconductors. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Policy and industrial opportunities: Regions like Anhui have positioned "chips + new energy vehicles" as a core industrial strategy and built a localized "local vehicles + local chips" industrial closed loop. Industry players based in these industrial clusters can access more policy support and industrial synergy opportunities.

2. Demand-driven opportunities: The upgrade of intelligent vehicles has triggered a boom in demand for automotive-grade DRAM, leaving enormous room for domestic memory substitution. Players that establish early ties with local supply chains will gain a clear competitive edge when supply tightens, and be better positioned to absorb cost pressure from memory price hikes.

3. Risk warnings: DRAM is a highly cyclical industry with large swings in capacity and pricing. Automotive-grade chips also require long certification cycles and high validation costs, and mass production of CXMT’s automotive-grade products is still unconfirmed. The actual effectiveness of the priority supply rights granted through strategic placement also remains uncertain. Relevant industry players should assess risks carefully and plan for long-term布局.

This article analyzes the layout directions and business opportunities for complete vehicle and auto parts factories in the intelligent vehicle era. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Shifts in production demand: As intelligent vehicles demand ever-higher computing power, automotive-grade memory chips have become core components, with much stricter requirements for chip performance, stability and supply reliability. Factories need to integrate supply chain adaptation into their overall R&D and production planning at an early stage.

2. Business opportunities: As domestic memory substitution accelerates, local vehicle manufacturing factories that build capital ties with leading domestic memory makers can secure priority supply of automotive-grade chips, gaining an early foothold in next-generation intelligent vehicle competition. Geographic proximity also drastically cuts costs for joint technology development and adaptation validation, and improves problem-solving efficiency.

3. Industrial insights: Factories can actively integrate into local core industrial ecosystems, leverage industrial clusters to cut collaboration costs, and deepen supply chain cooperation through capital ties. This reduces supply chain uncertainty from the source and mitigates the risk of core component dependency on foreign suppliers. At the same time, factories should account for the cyclical volatility of the memory industry, make long-term plans, and reserve room for adjustment.

This article outlines industry trends, core customer pain points and actionable directions for players in the intelligent vehicle chip supply chain service space. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Industry trends: The upgrade of the intelligent vehicle industry is driving rapid growth in demand for automotive-grade memory chips, while domestic memory substitution is accelerating. A collaborative industrial ecosystem of local chipmakers and vehicle manufacturers is taking shape, and demand for services related to automotive chip adaptation and supply chain assurance will keep growing.

2. Core customer pain points: Automotive-grade chips have long certification cycles, high validation costs, and unstable supply. Currently, the global DRAM market is highly concentrated in the hands of overseas players, and most automakers face risks of future price hikes and supply shortages, leaving the core component "bottleneck" problem unresolved.

3. Viable solutions: Industry service providers can promote the development of regional industrial clusters; geographic proximity reduces communication and time costs for chip adaptation and validation. They can also help upstream and downstream players deepen collaboration through capital ties, supporting automakers to lock in production capacity early and resolve the pain point of supply chain instability. Providers should also keep an eye on cyclical volatility in the memory industry and uncertainty around automotive-grade product mass production to prepare for risk.

This article outlines demand, layout directions and risk mitigation strategies for industrial platforms against the backdrop of growing integration between semiconductors and complete vehicles. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Industry demand for platforms: In current collaborative R&D between chipmakers and vehicle makers, automotive-grade chip adaptation and validation require long cycles and high costs. Geographically concentrated industrial cluster platforms can drastically cut communication costs, improve the efficiency of joint technology development, and resolve the pain point of long validation cycles.

2. Platform layout and investment promotion directions: Local industrial platforms can build a localized "chip + vehicle" industrial closed loop aligned with core national strategic priorities for chips and new energy vehicles. This attracts core upstream and downstream players to settle, creates differentiated industrial synergy advantages, and improves attractiveness for investment. Platforms can also facilitate local capital participation to bind upstream and downstream players, deepen industrial synergy, and boost the overall competitiveness of the cluster.

3. Risk mitigation directions: When developing chip-related industries, platforms need to account for the strong cyclicality of the DRAM industry, avoid overestimating growth potential at the peak of the industry cycle, and guide settled enterprises to make plans to weather industry fluctuations. They should also pay attention to uncertainty around mass production and validation of automotive-grade chips, avoid excessive early investment, and reserve room for adjustment.

This article covers the latest development in the integration of China’s intelligent vehicle and semiconductor industries, and proposes new research questions. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. New industry trends: The successful IPO of CXMT, China’s domestic DRAM leader, marks a new stage of domestic memory chip substitution. Three domestic vehicle makers — Xiaomi, Nio and Chery — have tied up with the local memory maker through strategic placement, kicking off a race to lock in core supply chain positions for automakers in the era of computing sovereignty. The model of building a localized "complete vehicle + domestic chip" industrial closed loop led by local governments has taken shape, driving deep integration of these two trillion-yuan industries.

2. New questions for research: The global DRAM market is highly concentrated, and automotive-grade memory has become a core bottleneck for the intelligent vehicle industry. Critical questions that warrant further research include the actual effectiveness of priority supply rights obtained through strategic placement, whether domestic memory makers can deliver mass production of automotive-grade products on schedule, and how to manage volatility in highly cyclical industries.

3. Implications for policy and business model research: The model that local governments use to promote industrial integration by building local industrial ecosystems and guiding upstream-downstream collaboration, as well as the new supply chain cooperation model of capital binding plus industrial synergy, both deserve further research and summary from academia and policy researchers.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

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车企的算力阳谋

出品|虎嗅汽车组

作者|杨杰

7月27日,国产存储芯片龙头长鑫科技正式登陆科创板。开盘报49.5元/股,较8.66元发行价暴涨471.59%,总市值一举达到3.31万亿元。

给不熟悉3.31万亿概念的同学简单科普一下,这约等于两个贵州茅台,并超过了长期霸榜的工商银行。基于此,长鑫科技一跃成为新的A股“市值一哥”。

可以说,成立仅十年的长鑫科技,继去年第四季度实现扭亏为盈之后,在资本市场完成了一次教科书级别的亮相。而在它身后,站着一长串中国科技产业的名字:TCL、传音控股、快手、阿里云、中兴通讯、澜起科技、中微公司……从上游设备到下游终端,几乎集齐了中国科技产业的核心力量。

其中有三个涉足汽车制造的企业格外值得注意,那就是小米、蔚来和奇瑞各掏1.58亿元,各获配约1824万股,锁定期18个月。而要了解这三家车企为何能够率先牵手长鑫科技,首先便要了解长鑫科技到底何许人也。

作为中国少数实现DRAM规模化量产的IDM企业,长鑫科技全球DRAM市场排名第四。在对战略配售投资者的选取标准层面,长鑫科技写得很清楚:能够增强发行人产业链协同能力,保障关键资源供给。

换句话说,能上这张名单的,不是有钱就行,你得是长鑫眼中“有用的人”。

蔚来和奇瑞,是这张名单里两家以整车制造为主业的车企。而小米的身份比它们更特殊,因为它既是长鑫的老客户,又是新玩家。

为什么是蔚来和奇瑞?

答案的第一层,写在合肥的地图上。

长鑫科技总部位于安徽合肥,而参与战略配售的两家车企主体分别是蔚来动力科技(合肥)有限公司和奇瑞智能汽车科技(合肥)有限公司。

对此,蔚来李斌曾在多个场合反复提及一个细节:“长鑫存储的工厂离我们非常近,走路就能到,都在经开区的北区。”

这意味着,从蔚来合肥工厂驾车到长鑫的晶圆厂,也就十分钟。如果两家企业联合技术攻关,可以做到“九点发现问题、十点人到现场解决”。

众所周知,车规级芯片存在适配验证周期长、成本高的天然难题,地理上的“贴脸”让沟通成本和验证效率产生了质的差异。这背后,几百米的物理距离功不可没。

近水楼台先得月的蔚来,自然而然率先成为长鑫科技的伙伴之一。李斌也在多个场合提到,长鑫存储的LPDDR5X芯片已在蔚来车型上完成上车验证,并明确双方合作是应对成本压力、稳定供应链的重要举措。车企算力战,为何卡在内存?

答案的第二层,藏在安徽的产业野心里。

安徽省近年来将“芯屏器合”(芯片、显示屏、装备制造、新能源汽车)作为核心产业战略。蔚来、奇瑞、江汽集团等整车企业与长鑫科技、龙迅半导体等本土芯片企业,构成了一个罕见的“省内整车企业+本土芯片企业”的产业闭环。就在长鑫科技上市前夕,安徽省与合肥市多家国资平台还领投了端侧AI推理芯片企业聆思科技近5亿元B轮融资。

蔚来和奇瑞的入局,本质上是在响应一场从“省里到市里”的系统性产业布局——把汽车和芯片两个万亿级产业,缝合在同一张供应链网络上。

答案的第三层,是车企各自的战略卡位。

可以毫不夸张地说,这次牵手长鑫科技,车企花钱买的不是股票,是优先供应权,是供应链安全,是在DRAM紧缺时的一张“插队券”。

纵观当下车企布局,自研算力芯片已成规模,但多数企业却绕不开存储这道坎。

具体来看,蔚来有“神玑”,小鹏有图灵,理想有马赫M100……算力芯片可以自研,但存储芯片依然是外采。

而全球DRAM市场高度集中,三星、SK海力士和美光三家便占据超过95%的份额。

作为唯一的国产规模化供应商,一旦DRAM再次出现供应紧张,谁和长鑫绑得紧,谁就能优先拿到货。这是产业规律,无关情怀。

加之车规级芯片认证周期长、验证成本高、对极端环境下的稳定性要求极高,一旦量产,更换供应商代价极大。

通过战略入股,蔚来与奇瑞能够深度绑定长鑫科技研发车规级芯片的技术能力,提前锁定产能供应,从源头降低未来供应链的不确定风险。

在此前的采访中,李斌曾多次直言,内存涨价是2026年“最大的成本压力”。就蔚来与长鑫的合作,虎嗅也联系蔚来相关传播负责人,对方表示,因该动作涉及长鑫IPO相关信息,故蔚来方面不方便做出回应。但就企业发展的布局,以及过往领导表态不难看出,蔚来与长鑫的合作,无疑将进一步提升蔚来的供应链稳定性,从而有效避免日后造车遭遇“卡脖子”窘境。

奇瑞虽未像蔚来那样明确披露合作细节,但角色类似,其将作为下游应用端企业参与战略配售,目的同样是“卡位”下一代智能汽车的计算芯片供应。

与蔚来和奇瑞不同,在手机时代,小米就是长鑫科技的核心客户之一。其多款旗舰机型早已搭载长鑫的LPDDR系列内存产品。这次参与战配,被视为小米从供应链合作升级为资本绑定的新动作。

聚焦当下,小米汽车量产交付后,对车规级DRAM的需求正在快速膨胀。加之澎程系列增程SUV即将在7月30日发布,可以预想到雷军在智能座舱、自动驾驶上对存储芯片的依赖,并不亚于任何一家新势力。

对小米而言,1.58亿的投资逻辑和蔚来、奇瑞并无本质区别,锁定的同样是车规级存储芯片的优先供应权。唯一的不同是,小米的采购体量更大(手机+汽车),在长鑫的客户优先级排序中可能更具分量。

三家涉及整车制造的企业,各出1.58亿,拿到的牌面完全一样。这恰恰说明:在算力主权时代,没有谁比谁更特殊,只有谁先上桌。

狂欢之下的风险

当然,这笔投资并非没有风险。

如果只看财务账,这是一笔划算的买卖。以发行价8.66元计算,1.58亿元获配约1824万股。上市首日收盘价约48元,三家车企各自账面浮盈均超过7亿元。

但3.31万亿的市值,对应的是市场对长鑫科技未来增长的极致预期。DRAM是典型的强周期行业。上一轮周期低谷中,长鑫科技的表现其实并不是很亮眼,如果出现产业波动,其能否保持走高表现值得持续聚焦。

更深层的问题是:战略配售带来的“优先供应权”,在实际操作中到底有多大效力?

当长鑫科技的产能真正紧张时,它会优先保障一家年销量几十万辆的车企,还是优先保障年出货数亿部的手机厂商?更关键的是,长鑫的车规级产品能否如期大规模量产上车,仍然需要更长时间验证。

总体而言,在智能汽车的定义从“四个轮子加一个沙发”变成“四个轮子加一台超级计算机”的进程中,谁掌握了核心计算部件的供应,谁就掌握了竞争的主动权。蔚来、奇瑞和小米各掏1.58亿,押注的只是算力主权时代的入场券而已,真正属于车企锁定核心算力供应的竞赛,才刚刚开始。

注:文/杨杰,文章来源:虎嗅APP(公众号ID:huxiu_com),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

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FAQ回顾

长鑫科技在全球DRAM市场的地位怎么样?

长鑫科技是中国少数实现DRAM规模化量产的IDM企业,全球DRAM市场排名第四,也是当前国内唯一的DRAM规模化供应商,2024年7月登陆科创板后总市值达3.31万亿元,成为新的A股市值一哥。

车企为什么要绑定存储芯片供应商?

全球DRAM市场超95%份额被海外厂商占据,车规级芯片认证周期长、更换供应商代价高,智能汽车对存储芯片需求持续增长,绑定国产存储龙头可提前锁定产能,降低供应链风险,应对内存涨价成本压力。

小米蔚来奇瑞参与长鑫科技战配可获得什么权益?

三家车企各出资1.58亿元获配约1824万股,锁定期18个月,可深度绑定长鑫科技车规级芯片研发能力,提前锁定DRAM产能优先供应权,降低供应链波动风险,保障智能汽车算力相关部件供给。

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