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三期终关60亿 这家上海母基金爆发

作者:周佳丽 文章来源:投资界

2026-06-17 06:21

作者:周佳丽 文章来源:投资界

2026-06-17 06:21

邦小白快读

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本文核心干货是上海科创母基金的最新成果,以及当前创投行业的现状和投资逻辑梳理。

1. 上海科创基金是2017年由上海发起设立的全国首家服务上海科创中心的市场化国资母基金,近日三期圆满终关,规模61.5亿元,母基金总规模突破200亿元,达成“双200+双3000”里程碑:培育上市企业超200家,子基金总规模近3000亿元,投资组合项目超3000个,曦智科技、沐曦股份等多个硬科技项目获得超10倍甚至20倍的账面回报。

2. 当前创投市场整体回暖,但存在结构不均衡问题,硬科技赛道资本涌入过热,FOMO情绪蔓延,存在估值泡沫风险。投资要保持理性,区分好项目和好投资,不要盲目追高,坚持“投早、投小、投硬、投长”,不迷信短期爆发和明星效应,更看重项目长期成长性,走长期价值投资路线。

本文为品牌商梳理了当前科创领域的产业趋势、布局机会和风险提示,可用于产业布局参考。

1. 产业与消费趋势层面,当前资本核心布局集成电路、生物医药、人工智能、先进制造、新能源等硬科技核心赛道,还前瞻布局光计算、具身智能、商业航天、量子科技等未来产业,这些领域将迎来高速增长,品牌商可结合自身业务跟进相关方向的产品研发和布局。

2. 链主品牌迎来新的资本运作机会,业内看好CVC模式未来发展,CVC依托产业背景,在技术判断、工艺赋能、订单对接、并购退出上具备市场化GP没有的天然优势,品牌商作为产业链主可布局CVC,对接资本资源,反哺自身产业发展。

3. 当前硬科技赛道估值过热,存在泡沫风险,品牌商做产业投资布局要保持理性,警惕追高风险,区分好项目和好投资,优先布局具备长期价值的项目。

本文为科创领域相关卖家梳理了当前创投市场的变化、机会与风险,提供了明确的方向参考。

1. 当前创投市场整体回暖,LP投资积极性明显提升,出资和决策效率提升,资金端信心逐步恢复,但行业存在明显的结构性问题,硬科技热门赛道估值被追高,泡沫风险加剧,卖家要警惕FOMO情绪,不要盲目跟风抢项目。

2. 市场机会层面,三大先导产业、六大支柱产业、六大未来产业均获得大量资本支持,光计算、具身智能等前沿未来产业的投资机会多,长三角作为科创核心布局区域,产业集群优势明显,相关项目落地和发展资源充足,值得重点挖掘。

3. 风险提示方面,当前一级市场近九成资金来自国资,退出结构不均衡,IPO集中在少数赛道,资金回流不畅,卖家需要提前规划退出路径,业内判断只有市场化资金占比回到50%以上,一级市场才会回归理性拐点。

本文为硬科技领域制造工厂梳理了产品需求、商业机会和数字化转型的相关启示。

1. 产品生产和设计需求层面,当前资本大量布局集成电路、生物医药、先进制造、新能源等核心硬科技赛道,以及光计算、具身智能、商业航天、量子科技等前沿未来产业,这些领域的快速发展对上游核心零部件、生产制造配套带来了大量旺盛需求,工厂可针对性调整生产和设计方向,对接配套需求。

2. 商业机会层面,当前CVC模式快速发展,链主企业旗下CVC布局了大量早期科创项目,需要对接优质生产制造资源,工厂可依托自身产业优势对接项目,获得稳定的商业合作机会,同时长三角产业集群优势明显,相关项目聚集多,配套需求大。

3. 转型启示方面,上海科创基金依靠专业化运作、数字化管理实现了高效布局,工厂推进数字化转型,主动对接产业和资本生态,更容易获得资源支持,抓住早期科创项目的增长红利。

本文为创投领域服务商梳理了行业发展趋势、核心痛点和业务拓展方向,干货充足。

1. 行业发展趋势层面,当前母基金行业正向多元化、机构化、长期化方向发展,LP结构已经从单一本土国资拓展到外省市国资、各类金融机构、境外资本等多元主体,母基金对专业化服务的需求越来越多元,市场空间更大。

2. 行业核心客户痛点层面,当前一级市场存在三大核心痛点:一是退出结构不均衡,退出通道偏窄,资金回流不畅;二是LP结构失衡,国资占比近九成,市场化资金不足,容易引发赛道过热;三是热门赛道估值泡沫严重,缺乏理性判断。

3. 业务解决方案方向,服务商可围绕S基金主动交易退出、多元LP资源对接、一级市场资本结构优化开发对应服务,同时可为母基金和GP提供理性投资决策赋能,抓住当前行业结构性调整带来的业务机会。

本文为科创投资平台提供了可借鉴的运作经验、招商方法和风险规避方向,参考价值高。

1. 市场需求层面,当前科创企业对平台的需求不再是单纯的财务投资,而是需要平台做创新要素的连接器,链接政府、产业、金融、园区等各方资源,提供全生命周期的生态赋能,平台需要打造协同化的科创生态才能满足需求。

2. 可借鉴的运营招商做法:上海科创基金采用“全国化布局、上海化落地”模式,不强制要求项目注册在本地,依托母基金网络全球搜索优质早期项目,再引导落地本地,还提供园区对接、政策申请、信贷、融资等一站式落地服务,招商效率更高;投资端采用50%P+25%S+25%D的策略,提升主动退出能力,保障资金循环。

3. 风险规避方面,要警惕热门赛道估值泡沫,优化退出结构,坚持长期投资理念,维持较高的老LP复投率,避免行业常见的“一期而亡”问题,打造长期可持续的平台。

本文为创投行业研究者提供了最新的产业新动向、行业新问题和值得深入研究的方向,素材丰富。

1. 产业新动向方面:当前市场化国资母基金出现新突破,上海科创三期首次通过QFLP引入境外资金,开创了境外资本与上海国资母基金联动支持科创的全新模式;投资策略出现新调整,普遍提升S基金和直投的占比,打通主动退出通路,强化CVC基金布局,前瞻布局各类未来硬科技赛道。

2. 行业新问题方面:当前一级市场存在明显的结构性问题,包括LP结构中国资占比过高,市场化资金不足,退出结构不均衡,IPO集中少数赛道,热门赛道估值泡沫严重,母基金行业“一期而亡”成为普遍现象,这些都是值得研究的核心问题。

3. 研究启示方面:上海科创基金连续三期成功募资,总规模突破200亿,培育超200家上市企业,其坚持市场化运作、长期投资的商业模式,为国资母基金市场化运作提供了典型研究样本,也为推动一级市场长期健康发展、引导市场化资金回流提供了研究方向。

声明:快读内容全程由AI生成,请注意甄别信息。如您发现问题,请发送邮件至 run@ebrun.com 。

我是 品牌商 卖家 工厂 服务商 平台商 研究者 帮我再读一遍。

Quick Summary

This article centers on key insights from the latest milestone of Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation (SSTI) Mother Fund, and an overview of the current state and investment logic of China's venture capital industry.

1. Founded in 2017 by the Shanghai municipal government, SSTI is China's first market-oriented state-owned capital mother fund dedicated to supporting Shanghai's goal of becoming a global science and technology innovation center. Its third phase recently wrapped up final closing at 6.15 billion yuan, pushing the fund's total size to over 20 billion yuan, hitting the "Double 200+ Double 3000" milestone: it has nurtured more than 200 listed companies, its sub-funds have a combined size of nearly 300 billion yuan, and its investment portfolio covers over 3,000 projects. Many hard tech portfolio companies including Lightelligence and Muxi have delivered 10x to 20x on paper returns to the fund.

2. The overall venture capital market is recovering, but it faces structural imbalance: capital inflows to hard tech tracks are overheated, FOMO sentiment is widespread, and valuation bubble risks are rising. Investors should stay rational, distinguish between good projects and good investments, avoid chasing overvalued assets, and stick to the strategy of "investing early, investing small, investing hard tech, investing long-term". Instead of chasing short-term hype and star effect, investors should prioritize long-term growth and adhere to a long-term value investing approach.

This article outlines industrial trends, layout opportunities and risk alerts for brand owners in the tech innovation space to inform strategic industrial layout.

1. In terms of industrial and consumer trends, capital is currently focused on core hard tech tracks including integrated circuits, biopharmaceuticals, artificial intelligence, advanced manufacturing and new energy, and is also proactively positioning in emerging future sectors such as optical computing, embodied intelligence, commercial aerospace and quantum technology. All these fields are poised for rapid growth, and brand owners can align their product R&D and strategic layout with these directions based on their existing businesses.

2. Leading chain brands now have new capital operation opportunities. The industry is bullish on the future of the CVC (Corporate Venture Capital) model: thanks to their industrial background, CVCs have inherent advantages that market-oriented GPs cannot match in technical due diligence, process enablement, order matching and exit via M&A. As leading players in industrial chains, brand owners can set up CVCs to connect with capital resources and feed back their core industrial development.

3. Current valuations in hot hard tech tracks are overstretched with bubble risks. When carrying out industrial investment layout, brand owners should remain rational, be wary of overpaying for hot assets, distinguish between good projects and good investments, and prioritize projects with clear long-term value.

This article summarizes changes, opportunities and risks in the current venture capital market for deal originators and intermediaries in the tech innovation space, with clear directional guidance.

1. The overall venture capital market is recovering: LPs have become significantly more active, with faster decision-making and capital contribution, and confidence on the capital side is gradually recovering. But the industry faces notable structural issues: valuations in popular hard tech tracks have been bid up, amplifying bubble risks. Deal sellers should guard against FOMO sentiment and avoid blindly following the crowd to compete for overpriced deals.

2. In terms of market opportunities, China's three leading industrial sectors, six core pillar industries and six future industrial sectors have all received strong capital support, and there are abundant investment opportunities in cutting-edge future fields such as optical computing and embodied intelligence. As China's core sci-tech innovation hub, the Yangtze River Delta has distinct industrial cluster advantages and sufficient resources for project landing and development, making it a key region for sourcing quality deals.

3. On risk alerts: nearly 90% of primary market capital currently comes from state-owned sources, and exit channels are structurally imbalanced, with IPOs concentrated in a handful of tracks leading to poor capital recycling. Deal sellers should help portfolio companies plan exit paths early. Industry observers believe the primary market will only reach a rational inflection point when the share of market-oriented capital rises back above 50%.

This article outlines implications on product demand, business opportunities and digital transformation for manufacturing factories in the hard tech space.

1. In terms of product and design demand: large amounts of capital are currently flowing into core hard tech tracks including integrated circuits, biopharmaceuticals, advanced manufacturing and new energy, as well as cutting-edge future sectors such as optical computing, embodied intelligence, commercial aerospace and quantum technology. The rapid growth of these fields has generated strong, sustained demand for upstream core components and manufacturing supporting services. Factories can adjust their production and design focus to match these supporting demand.

2. In terms of business opportunities: the CVC model is growing rapidly, and CVCs backed by leading industrial chain players have invested in a large number of early-stage tech innovation projects that need access to high-quality manufacturing resources. Factories can leverage their industrial expertise to connect with these projects for stable business cooperation. In addition, the Yangtze River Delta's strong industrial cluster advantage means a high concentration of relevant projects and large supporting demand.

3. On transformation insights: SSTI Mother Fund has achieved efficient layout through professional operation and digital management. For factories, advancing digital transformation and actively integrating into industrial and capital ecosystems makes it easier to access resources and capture the growth dividends of early-stage tech innovation projects.

This article summarizes industry development trends, core pain points and business expansion directions for venture capital service providers, with abundant actionable insights.

1. In terms of industry trends: the mother fund industry is moving toward diversification, institutionalization and long-term orientation. The LP base has expanded from a single source of local state-owned capital to a diversified mix of state-owned capital from other provinces, financial institutions, and overseas capital. Mother funds now have increasingly diverse demand for professional services, opening up larger market opportunities.

2. In terms of core industry pain points: the current primary market faces three core structural problems: first, imbalanced exit structure with overly narrow exit channels leading to poor capital recycling; second, imbalanced LP structure, with state-owned capital accounting for nearly 90% of total capital and insufficient market-oriented capital, which easily fuels overheated competition in popular tracks; third, serious valuation bubbles in hot tracks and a lack of rational investment decision-making.

3. In terms of business development directions: service providers can develop targeted offerings around secondary fund (S-fund) transaction exits, diversified LP resource matching, and primary market capital structure optimization. They can also provide support to help mother funds and GPs make more rational investment decisions, capturing business opportunities brought by the ongoing industry structural adjustment.

This article shares actionable operational experience, investment promotion strategies and risk mitigation guidance for sci-tech innovation investment platforms, with high reference value.

1. In terms of market demand: tech innovation enterprises now no longer only need pure financial investment from platforms. Instead, they require platforms to act as connectors of innovation elements, linking government, industry, finance, industrial parks and other stakeholders to provide full-lifecycle ecological enablement. Platforms need to build a collaborative sci-tech innovation ecosystem to meet this demand.

2. For replicable operational and investment promotion practices: SSTI Mother Fund adopts a "nationwide sourcing, Shanghai-based landing" model: it does not force projects to register locally, instead sources high-quality early-stage projects globally through its mother fund network, then guides eligible projects to land in Shanghai, and provides one-stop landing services including park matching, policy application, credit and financing support, which delivers much higher investment promotion efficiency. On the investment side, it adopts a 50% primary / 25% secondary / 25% direct investment allocation strategy to improve active exit capability and maintain steady capital recycling.

3. For risk mitigation: platforms should guard against valuation bubbles in hot tracks, optimize exit structure, adhere to long-term investment philosophy, and maintain high re-up rate from existing LPs to avoid the common "one-and-done" pitfall and build a long-term sustainable platform.

This article provides the latest industry dynamics, unaddressed problems and promising research directions for venture capital industry researchers, with rich research materials.

1. In terms of new industry dynamics: market-oriented state-owned mother funds have achieved new breakthroughs. SSTI's third phase for the first time introduced overseas capital via QFLP, creating a brand-new model of linking overseas capital with Shanghai state-owned mother funds to support tech innovation. Investment strategies have also adjusted: funds are generally increasing the allocation to S-funds and direct investment to open up active exit channels, strengthening CVC layout, and proactively positioning in various future hard tech tracks.

2. In terms of new industry problems: the current primary market faces obvious structural issues, including excessively high state-owned capital share in the LP structure, insufficient market-oriented capital, imbalanced exit structure with IPOs concentrated in a small number of tracks, severe valuation bubbles in popular tracks, and the widespread "one-and-done" phenomenon in the mother fund industry. All these are core issues worthy of in-depth research.

3. In terms of research implications: SSTI Mother Fund has successfully completed three consecutive fundraising rounds, with total size exceeding 20 billion yuan and over 200 listed portfolio companies. Its market-oriented operation and long-term investment business model provides a typical research sample for the market-oriented reform of state-owned mother funds, and also offers clear research directions for promoting the long-term healthy development of the primary market and guiding the return of market-oriented capital.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

这是今年创投市场一股标志性活水。

投资界获悉,上海科创三期基金已于近日圆满终关,规模锁定61.5亿元。至此,母基金管理总规模正式跨越200亿元里程碑。

上海科创基金是根据上海市委、市政府部署要求,由上海国际集团于2017年发起设立、全国首家以服务上海科创中心建设为核心使命的市场化国资母基金。9年来,基金始终围绕“投早、投小、投硬、投长”,交出“双200+双3000”的成绩单:管理规模超200亿元,培育上市企业超200家,子基金总规模近3000亿元,组合项目超过3000个,最近更是接连收获曦智科技、沐曦股份、盛合晶微三个Home-run级回报。

“市场确实在回暖。”上海科创基金总裁杨斌向投资界感慨。他认为,今年募投管退的总量数据确实带来了信心,但结构上的不均衡问题更值得关注。只有让退出结构更丰富、更多元,引导更多市场化资金回流,一级市场才能真正走向长期健康发展。

解构多元LP生态

“结果超预期。”杨斌谈起这次募资,体感很明显,“随着市场信心逐步恢复,LP的积极性明显提高了。投资决策、资金出资的效率,都比过去快了很多。”

投资界拿到了LP名单。除了国际集团、国盛集团、上港集团、长宁国投等上海本土国资平台的加持,这一次还迎来了5家外省市优质国资LP:山东高速、连云港金控、格力集团、上海齐鲁、成都策源资本。

更具风向标意义的是,上海科创三期基金首次落地了境外资金——通过QFLP(合格境外有限合伙人)的路径,成功引入新加坡丰隆星河专项投资,这一标志性案例也入选了“2025上海全球资产管理中心建设十项大事”。

“这是一个双向奔赴的过程。”杨斌说。这不仅是上海国际集团科创投资领域市场化团队自主募集、自主管理QFLP基金从0到1的突破,也开创了境外资本与上海国资基金联动、共同支持科创中心建设的全新模式。

此外,太保寿险、新华保险、东方证券、上海信托、建元信托等金融机构也现身上海科创三期基金的LP阵容中。

近年来,中国的市场化母基金募资挑战重重,“一期而亡”的景象让人看得心情复杂。这样的氛围里,上海科创基金以四年为稳定周期,连续三期,每期都能保持在60亿元以上规模,在市场化母基金行业里极为少见。

更难得的是,上海科创基金“市场化”的初心从未动摇。此前两期中的大多数LP也都选择了持续加注,整体复投率超过60%。

“老LP的支持给了我们极大的底气,也让我们更加有信心持续拓展和丰富投资人类型,汇聚各类资本,全方位、体系化助力上海科创中心建设。”杨斌表示,三期基金吸引了本外地国企、各类型金融机构、境外主体等新LP的加入,带动了多元化、机构化、长期化的母基金资本生态的持续优化,这一切再次证明了上海科创基金在战略聚焦、业绩呈现、策略配置、投后管理、生态赋能等方面,得到了市场化投资人的认可。

接下来,上海科创基金将一如既往,立足“上海科创中心+国际金融中心”双重优势,深度链接政府、产业、金融、园区、企业各方,构建一个真正协同的科创生态。超越财务投资者的角色,团队正在成为创新要素的连接器、产业发展的放大器、企业成长的加速器——用生态的力量,陪伴早期科创企业走得更稳、更远。

解码配置的艺术

基于前两期沉淀下来的经验,上海科创三期基金延续了P(子基金投资)、S(S基金投资)、D(直接投资)这一已被验证的策略框架,但比例做了微调:S策略和直投策略的权重各提高5个百分点,原则上形成“50%P +25%S +25%D”的结构。

S基金是上海国资体系首支创投类S基金——规模15亿元的科创接力一期基金,目标打造百亿接力基金集群。更重要的是,上海科创基金已经从S基金的买方延伸为卖方。“母基金的退出,并非只能被动等待子基金退出,我们也要主动发起退出。”杨斌说。去年下半年和今年1月,团队完成了两单一期母基金中的子基金份额的主动转让,打通了主动退出的通路。在一级市场退出通道普遍偏窄的当下,这是一个实实在在的差异化能力。

直投则坚持“子基金优中选优”的打法,重点覆盖GP已经投资、经过多轮比对的项目。2021年分批布局的曦智科技、沐曦股份、盛合晶微三个项目,从去年12月至今年年初,先后在科创板和港交所上市,均实现了超过10倍的账面回报,其中沐曦股份、盛合晶微市值超过2000亿元,账面回报超过20倍,这一成绩也验证了这套“母基金精选”直投模式的有效性。

自成立以来,上海科创基金始终“投早、投小、投硬、投长”,75%以上子基金为VC基金,三期基金同样延续这一比例。一个重要变化是,三期基金专门强化了CVC基金的投资,目前已经布局了吉利控股集团和中微半导体等旗下的CVC基金。

“经过过去的实践和复盘,我们认为,CVC将成为未来中国私募股权市场的重要组成部分。”杨斌进一步阐释背后逻辑,随着国内链主企业成长,CVC在技术判断、工艺赋能、订单对接甚至并购退出上的天然优势,是市场化GP难以替代的。

几乎覆盖了市面上所有头部白马GP,新基金将更多关注黑马机构。策略可以概括为:“白马中选金马,黑马中选千里马”。上海科创基金执行投资总监杨兴逸表示:“我们筛选黑马GP的核心,是看它未来能否成长为白马机构,而不只看短期的爆发性。”

这种筛选哲学,与基金的整体风格一脉相承:不赌短期,不迷信明星效应,追求可复制、可持续的业绩。

赛道配置上,三期延续生物医药、先进制造、信息技术和环保新能源稳定平衡配置策略,并将继续深耕集成电路、生物医药、人工智能、先进制造、新能源等核心赛道,同时前瞻布局光计算、具身智能、商业航天、可控核聚变、量子科技等未来产业。

新的硬科技投资网络开始徐徐铺开。投资界了解到,截至目前,三期基金自2025年4月首关以来,已经投出近15亿元,投资覆盖了P、S、D三个品类,其中S基金和直投的投资进度相对更快一些。

九年历程,「双200+双3000」里程碑

回想2017年,上海科创基金由上海国际集团发起设立,使命明确:服务上海具有全球影响力的科创中心建设。

与市场上大多数国资母基金不同,它有独特一面——不强制要求所投子基金或项目注册在上海。凭借专业化运作、体系化布局、数字化管理,上海科创基金实现了“高频度、广覆盖、聚头部、促早小”的投资布局,可以从全国甚至全球范围内捕捉早期硬科技项目,再引导回上海落地。

“我们内部把这个功能称为‘超视距雷达’和‘高灵敏探针’。通过母基金的战略视野和布局优势,我们能够在早期发现企业价值并精准锁定具有颠覆性和创新性的项目。”杨斌说。作为长期耐心资本,上海科创基金依托母基金平台能力和生态优势,能够整合创新链、产业链、资本链上下游各类资源,为科创企业提供全产业链协同、全生命周期陪伴和全方位资源加持,助力科创企业高质量发展。

曦智科技是一个典型案例。早在2020年A轮阶段,上海科创基金便通过子基金完成了对曦智科技的早期跟踪。2021年,团队果断领投B轮融资,成为公司最早的国资投资机构,也是当时上海唯一的国资投资方。

彼时,光计算整体属于早期小众前沿赛道,产业界和投资界普遍认为这一技术离商业化落地还有很长距离。上海科创基金主动将曦智科技推荐给上海市的相关部门,推动对接本地龙头半导体制造产能配套,以及引荐集成电路、人工智能等上下游企业,促进光计算技术在GPU、云计算等领域的场景落地,夯实企业在上海的产业基础。

沐曦也是类似的逻辑。上海科创基金团队前瞻性地布局国产GPU赛道,在沐曦成立初期便深度介入,2021年参与A轮融资,成为沐曦早期发展阶段重要的国资投资机构,过程中持续加注,2024年联合上海国际集团等,发起设立专项基金参与B轮投资,坚定地陪伴沐曦从研发攻坚走向科创板上市,助力其成为国产GPU领域的标杆企业。

此外,对于招商引进落地项目,团队依托生态圈资源为企业提供“一站式”落地支持服务。2025年,上海科创基金作为领投方将临床AI医疗市场的龙头企业——惠每科技招商落地至上海长宁。在投资招引过程中,不仅助力企业完成融资,同时在项目招引落地过程为企业提供园区落地、产业支持政策、银行信贷、后续轮融资、IPO保荐等多维度、全方位金融支持。目前,惠每科技已经启动IPO申报工作,力争成为“AI+医疗”创新融合的关键节点。

这种“全国化布局、上海化落地”的打法,既突破了资金的地域限制,又实实在在为上海输送了优质科创资源。投资界拿到一份数据:基金投资于“3(三大先导产业)+6(六大支柱产业)+6(六大未来产业)”产业体系的底层资产占比超过90%,在集成电路、生物医药、人工智能与数字化等产业分别投了超过450家、750家、800家企业。

‌一张极具含金量的硬科技版图跃然眼前。截止目前,上海科创基金的母基金管理总规模超200亿元,已投子基金规模近3000亿,组合项目超3000个,培育国家级专精特新“小巨人”企业超780家、上市企业超过200家,实现“双200+双3000”里程碑——

智谱华章、月之暗面、稀宇科技等本土知名的AI大模型企业;宇树科技、智元机器人、云深处、乐动机器人、松延动力、银河通用、众擎科技等具身智能企业,博瑞康、脑虎科技、阶梯医疗等脑机接口公司,星际荣耀、蓝箭航天、天兵科技、九州云箭、银河航天、格思航天、国星宇航、国电高科等商业航天企业,诺瓦聚变、翌曦科技、星环聚能、能量奇点等可控核聚变公司,以及图灵量子、华翊量子、国科量子等量子科技公司.......一系列具有颠覆性和创新性的项目身后,都能看到上海科创基金及其子基金的身影。

打造具有全球影响力的科技创新中心,既要创新策源,也要生态辐射。

中央经济工作会议提出拓展北京(京津冀)、上海(长三角)、粤港澳大湾区国际科技创新中心的范围,持续放大科创中心在原始创新策源、高端产业引领、科技成果转化等方面的作用。将上海国际科技创新中心拓展至长三角,标志着中心建设从单城突破迈向区域协同一体化发展的新阶段。

长三角也是上海科创基金投资布局的最核心区域。从过往两期母基金投资组合看,长三角项目投资金额占比接近60%;已培育的93家科创板上市企业中,长三角地区企业62家,占比67%。

依托长三角产业集群优势,上海科创基金成功孵化了沐曦、曦智科技、盛合晶微、上海兆芯、宇树科技、东昇聚变、显耀显示、汇禾医疗、天泽云泰、臻驱科技、天鹜科技、影微创新、赛美特、清陶能源、惠每科技等一大批长三角硬科技标杆企业。

好项目≠好投资,保持敬畏

此时此刻,硬科技投资的情绪从未如此高涨。

“今天的硬科技赛道,像极了2021年最疯狂的那段日子。”杨斌忍不住感慨,今年GP们普遍反映“投资难度加大”——具身智能、量子计算、脑机接口、商业航天、可控核聚变、AI大模型等被轮番追高,轮次密度加速、估值动辄百亿级。稍微犹豫一下,项目就被抢走了,连访谈尽调的机会都很难拿到。

FOMO情绪正在席卷硬科技,但杨斌显得更理性。他认为,大量资本涌入热门赛道,能加速产业成熟和技术突破,即便部分项目最终被证明路径错误,也能为行业积累经验。但他同时提醒,从二级市场的规律看,当大街小巷都在谈论某个赛道时,往往意味着泡沫已接近顶峰。

尤其在这样高涨的氛围中,投资人需要警惕一件事:区分“好项目”与“好投资”。好项目,是企业本身优质、有发展潜力;但好项目不一定带来好回报——如果进入时机过晚、估值过高,即便企业不错,也可能亏钱。反过来,有些企业最终可能失败,但如果退出及时,也能获得不错的回报。

“真正的好投资,往往不在聚光灯下。”这份冷静来自经验。2021年市场高点时,上海科创基金团队见过太多追高后难以退出的案例。如今筛选GP,他们格外看重一个特质:克制。那些穿越过多轮周期的头部GP,总能在市场狂热中保持理性,不会因为怕错过而降低标准。真正在热门赛道大幅追高的,往往是缺乏经验、情绪激进的新手机构。

在杨斌眼里,更大的隐忧在于LP结构。

目前一级市场近九成资金来自国资背景。国资的天然属性是围绕国家战略布局,如具身智能、量子计算等正是“十五五”规划明确提及的方向。资金集中涌入,在推动产业发展的同时,也加剧了市场过热。

此情此景,呼唤市场化LP的声音尤为深切。过去几年,由于赛道过窄、退出通道不稳定,市场化LP的信心和预期一度缺失,一级市场的出资结构发生了剧烈调整。杨斌判断,通常市场化资金占比回到50%以上,是一级市场回归理性的拐点。

退出端同样存在结构性问题。清科研究中心最新报告显示,今年一季度有400多家VC/PE机构收获了IPO,敲钟盛况频频涌现。

“大家容易被总量数据麻痹,而忽略了结构上的问题。”杨斌梳理发现,目前IPO主要集中在先进制造和集成电路,生物医药大量依赖License-out或赴港上市,部分企业上市后表现不佳,影响了信心。另一边,A股虽然亏损企业上市标准在松动,扩容迹象初现,但行业分布仍然过于集中。

眼下高涨的,更多还是账面财富。真正的考验,在解禁之后。杨斌提醒,尽管二级市场回暖会让LP对DPI的诉求有所降温,但这种诉求不会消失——尤其是前几年的老LP,更需要资金回流形成循环。为LP带去现金回报,始终是一级市场的永恒主题。

放眼母基金市场,“一期而亡”的残酷故事比比皆是。但上海科创基金不仅走到了第三期,母基金与直投的优良业绩也在不断显现,成功跨过了行业常说的“死亡谷”。

6月16日也是上海科创基金成立九周年,尽管面临诸多行业共性压力与挑战,团队反而更显从容。在他们看来,基金管理规模站上200亿元的里程碑,这既是过往九年持续深耕的成果,更是检验其坚持“做难而正确的事”的全新起点。

站在这个新起点上,他们坚守一以贯之的理念:既不过度放大短期波动,也不忽视长期趋势。创投行业的真正价值,恰恰就藏在这种长期坚守和耐心资本的支撑之中。

注:文/周佳丽,文章来源:投资界(公众号ID:pedaily2012),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

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