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从SaaS到AI:智能企业的未来

作者:戴珂 文章来源:tobesaas

2026-06-15 14:43

作者:戴珂 文章来源:tobesaas

2026-06-15 14:43

邦小白快读

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本文核心梳理了AI与SaaS的发展关系,明确了智能企业的未来发展方向,核心干货如下:

1. 戳破了“AI会彻底吞噬SaaS”的错误观点,该结论的基础假设“基础模型会覆盖整个企业技术栈”不成立,过去二十年全球企业在SaaS领域的投入超20万亿美元,这套体系深度扎根业务,替换成本高到不现实,不可能被彻底替换。

2. 符合技术迭代的客观规律,过往大型主机、C/S架构等前代技术,原有系统核心代码都不会被彻底舍弃,只会做封装迁移沿用,AI同样只会在上层对SaaS做能力抽象,放大原有系统价值,最终演化出全新一代智能SaaS。

3. 目前95%的企业AI项目失败,核心原因就是脱离SaaS积累的完整业务上下文,依托SaaS做AI落地能大幅降低试错成本,提升成功率。

本文对品牌商布局AI、升级数字化体系有明确的指导价值,相关干货整理如下:

1. 消费互联网和产业数字化升级的趋势下,AI不会彻底取代现有SaaS体系,品牌商不需要推翻现有SaaS系统重新搭建AI架构,能避免高额的投入浪费,原有SaaS积累的业务数据、流程规则本身就是核心资产。

2. 品牌商落地AI项目时,要依托现有SaaS体系获取完整的业务上下文,不需要从零搭建AI技术栈,可直接规避95%的AI项目失败风险,大幅提升落地成功率。

3. 未来品牌智能系统的核心架构可参考“轻量化开源小模型+SaaS提供的全域业务上下文+会话式交互界面”的组合,升级系统时可向无头化架构方向适配,契合AI时代的需求。

本文给各类依托企业服务工具展业、从事To B相关业务的卖家明确了AI时代的方向,干货如下:

1. 机会层面,AI时代SaaS不会被淘汰,反而会成为企业AI技术栈的核心组成部分,核心价值转变为提供AI所需的全域业务上下文,原有做SaaS相关业务的卖家不需要抛弃原有业务转型,可围绕AI升级现有产品抓住新机遇。

2. 风险提示,不要轻信“AI彻底取代SaaS”的说法,不要盲目投入资金彻底替换现有SaaS体系,避免承受高额替换成本和项目失败的损失。

3. 选品和选服务提示,目前纯原生AI公司做企业AI落地的失败率高达95%,不管是卖家自身用AI还是给客户提供AI服务,优先选择结合成熟SaaS体系的方案,能有效降低试错成本,提升落地成功率。

本文给工厂推进数字化转型、落地AI应用提供了清晰的指导,干货内容如下:

1. 工厂推进数字化和AI落地,不需要彻底推翻现有SaaS等数字化系统重新搭建,符合技术迭代的客观规律,过往所有代际技术都是原有核心系统封装迁移沿用,不会彻底淘汰,工厂可以避免不必要的高额替换投入。

2. 工厂现有SaaS系统多年积累了生产、供应链、渠道销售等环节的结构化业务数据、特殊场景规则、例外处理逻辑,这些是AI落地的核心基础,脱离这些积累从零搭建AI项目,失败概率高达95%。

3. 商业机会层面,AI升级给SaaS带来了新的增长空间,做行业配套SaaS服务的工厂,可以围绕原有SaaS沉淀的业务上下文,结合轻量化小模型做AI升级,演化成新一代智能SaaS,抓住垂直领域的市场机会。

本文给做企业数字化、AI相关服务的服务商明确了行业趋势、客户痛点和解决方案,干货如下:

1. 行业发展趋势:AI不会彻底取代SaaS,未来智能企业的技术发展路径是AI升级SaaS,演化出新一代智能SaaS,SaaS的核心价值会转变为提供AI所需的全域业务上下文,市场需求只会升级不会消失。

2. 客户核心痛点:当前大量企业想要落地AI,错误相信大模型可以从头搭建完整业务体系,最终95%的项目都以失败告终,客户既想要AI升级,又不想浪费原有SaaS的投入,承担过高试错风险。

3. 可行解决方案:服务商可以依托客户现有SaaS体系,结合轻量化开源小模型构建AI能力,利用SaaS已经沉淀的业务数据和合规信任体系,提升AI落地成功率,降低客户成本,产品升级可参考无头化架构方向适配AI需求。

本文给做企业服务的SaaS平台商明确了AI时代的发展方向,干货内容如下:

1. 市场需求层面,AI时代企业对SaaS的需求不会消失,只会升级,企业需要的是结合AI能力的新一代智能SaaS,原有成熟SaaS厂商因为有多年的业务数据积累,比纯AI公司更具备落地优势。

2. 平台运营和招商方向:平台招商可以重点扶持依托原有SaaS能力做AI升级的项目,尽量规避纯原生AI企业服务项目,这类项目落地风险高,失败率达到95%,很难给平台带来稳定收益。

3. 风向规避:平台不要盲目跟风押注“AI彻底取代SaaS”的赛道,不要淘汰成熟的原有SaaS厂商,SaaS沉淀的业务上下文、合规信任体系是AI短时间无法替代的,彻底替换的市场接受度极低。

平台可以引导入驻厂商做无头化架构升级,抓住新一代智能SaaS的发展机遇。

本文给研究企业服务产业、AI落地的研究者提供了新的产业观点和研究方向,干货如下:

1. 产业新动向:AI浪潮下,SaaS产业不会被AI颠覆,会逐步演化成新一代智能SaaS,AI只会在上层对SaaS做能力抽象,放大原有SaaS的价值,这一结论符合过往几十年企业技术迭代的规律,从大型主机到C/S架构再到SaaS,都是原有核心代码封装迁移,不会被彻底替换。

2. 产业新问题:当前产业存在的共性误区是大量企业相信大模型可以从零构建完整业务上下文,直接导致95%的AI落地项目失败,纯原生AI企业做To B落地存在天生缺陷,缺少SaaS积累的业务上下文和合规信任体系。

3. 新的产业架构观点:未来垂直领域企业AI的完整技术栈由三大核心组成,分别是轻量化开源小模型、全域业务上下文、会话式交互界面,SaaS的核心价值就是提供全域业务上下文,这一新方向值得深入研究。

声明:快读内容全程由AI生成,请注意甄别信息。如您发现问题,请发送邮件至 run@ebrun.com 。

我是 品牌商 卖家 工厂 服务商 平台商 研究者 帮我再读一遍。

Quick Summary

This article clarifies the developmental relationship between AI and SaaS and outlines the future direction of intelligent enterprises. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. It debunks the misconception that "AI will completely displace SaaS". The underlying assumption of this claim — that foundation models will cover the entire enterprise technology stack — is invalid. Global enterprises have invested over $20 trillion in SaaS over the past two decades. This system is deeply embedded in core business operations, and replacement costs are prohibitively high, making a full overhaul impossible.

2. This trajectory aligns with the objective law of technology iteration. Previous technological paradigms such as mainframes and client-server architecture never had their core code completely discarded; instead, legacy systems were encapsulated and migrated for continued use. Similarly, AI will only abstract new capabilities on top of existing SaaS to amplify the value of legacy systems, eventually evolving into a new generation of intelligent SaaS.

3. Currently, 95% of corporate AI projects fail, primarily because they lack the complete business context accumulated in existing SaaS. Building AI solutions on top of existing SaaS dramatically reduces trial-and-error costs and improves success rates.

This article provides clear guidance for brands looking to integrate AI and upgrade their digital systems. Key insights for brands are as follows:

1. Against the broader trend of consumer internet and industrial digital upgrading, AI will not completely replace existing SaaS infrastructure. Brands do not need to scrap their current SaaS systems to build AI architecture from scratch, avoiding massive wasteful investment. The business data and process rules accumulated in existing SaaS are core assets in their own right.

2. When rolling out AI projects, brands can leverage their existing SaaS infrastructure to access complete business context, eliminating the need to build an AI technology stack from zero. This approach directly avoids the 95% failure rate that plagues standalone AI projects and significantly improves implementation success.

3. The core architecture of future intelligent brand systems can follow the combination of "lightweight open-source small models + full-domain business context from SaaS + conversational user interface". When upgrading systems, brands can adapt towards a headless architecture to meet the demands of the AI era.

This article clarifies the direction for B2B sellers who operate on enterprise service tools in the AI era. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. In terms of opportunity: SaaS will not become obsolete in the AI era; instead, it will become a core component of the enterprise AI technology stack, with its core value shifting to providing the full-domain business context AI requires. Sellers already working in SaaS-related businesses do not need to abandon their existing operations to pivot. They can seize new opportunities by upgrading their current products around AI capabilities.

2. Risk warning: Do not fall for the claim that "AI will completely replace SaaS" and do not blindly invest in a full replacement of existing SaaS infrastructure, which would expose you to prohibitive replacement costs and high risk of project failure.

3. Product and service selection guidance: Pure native AI companies have a 95% failure rate when delivering enterprise AI implementations. Whether you are adopting AI for your own operations or offering AI services to clients, prioritize solutions that build on mature SaaS systems to effectively reduce trial-and-error costs and improve implementation success.

This article provides clear guidance for factories advancing digital transformation and implementing AI applications. Key insights are as follows:

1. When advancing digitalization and AI implementation, factories do not need to completely scrap existing digital systems such as SaaS to rebuild from scratch. This aligns with the objective law of technology iteration: all previous generations of technology retained core legacy systems via encapsulation and migration, rather than completely phasing them out. This approach allows factories to avoid unnecessary high replacement costs.

2. Existing factory SaaS systems have accumulated years of structured business data, scenario-specific rules and exception handling logic across production, supply chain and channel sales. These form the core foundation for successful AI implementation. Starting an AI project from scratch without this accumulated context has a 95% failure rate.

3. In terms of business opportunity: AI upgrades have opened new growth space for SaaS. Factories that provide industry-specific SaaS services can evolve into next-generation intelligent SaaS by building AI upgrades on top of the business context accumulated in their existing SaaS, combining it with lightweight small models, to capture market opportunities in vertical sectors.

This article clarifies industry trends, customer pain points and actionable solutions for service providers offering enterprise digitalization and AI-related services. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Industry development trend: AI will not completely displace SaaS. The future technology development path for intelligent enterprises is AI-powered upgrading of existing SaaS, which will eventually evolve into a new generation of intelligent SaaS. The core value of SaaS will shift to providing the full-domain business context that AI requires, meaning market demand will only upgrade, not disappear.

2. Core customer pain points: Currently, many enterprises looking to implement AI mistakenly believe that large models can build a complete business system from scratch, leading 95% of these projects to end in failure. Customers want AI upgrades, but do not want to write off their existing SaaS investment or take on excessive trial-and-error risk.

3. Viable solution: Service providers can build AI capabilities on top of customers' existing SaaS systems, combining them with lightweight open-source small models. By leveraging the business data and compliance trust framework already accumulated in SaaS, providers can improve AI implementation success rates and reduce customer costs. For product upgrades, adapting to a headless architecture is a recommended direction to meet AI demand.

This article clarifies the development direction for enterprise service SaaS platform operators in the AI era. Key insights are as follows:

1. In terms of market demand: Enterprise demand for SaaS will not disappear in the AI era; it will only upgrade. Enterprises are looking for a new generation of intelligent SaaS that integrates AI capabilities. Established SaaS vendors, with their years of accumulated business data, have a natural implementation advantage over pure AI companies.

2. Guidance for platform operation and merchant recruitment: Platforms should prioritize recruiting and supporting projects that build AI upgrades on existing SaaS capabilities, and avoid pure native AI enterprise service projects. These pure AI projects carry high implementation risk, with a 95% failure rate, and are unlikely to generate stable revenue for the platform.

3. Risk mitigation: Platforms should not blindly follow the hype for the "AI completely replaces SaaS" track, nor should they phase out established existing SaaS vendors. The business context and compliance trust framework accumulated by SaaS cannot be replaced by AI in the short term, and full replacement has extremely low market acceptance.

Platforms can guide participating vendors to upgrade to a headless architecture to seize the development opportunity of next-generation intelligent SaaS.

This article offers new industry perspectives and research directions for scholars studying enterprise services and AI implementation. Key insights are as follows:

1. New industry trend: Amid the AI boom, the SaaS industry will not be disrupted by AI; it will gradually evolve into a new generation of intelligent SaaS. AI will only abstract new capabilities on top of existing SaaS to amplify the value of legacy systems, a trajectory that aligns with decades of enterprise technology iteration: from mainframes to client-server architecture to SaaS, core legacy code has always been encapsulated and migrated, rather than completely replaced.

2. New industry problem: A common misconception across the industry is that large models can build complete business context from scratch, which directly leads to the 95% failure rate of AI implementation projects. Pure native AI companies have an inherent disadvantage in B2B implementation, as they lack the business context and compliance trust framework accumulated through SaaS.

3. New perspective on industry architecture: The complete technology stack for vertical enterprise AI in the future will have three core components: lightweight open-source small models, full-domain business context, and conversational user interface. SaaS will fulfill the core role of providing full-domain business context, and this new direction merits in-depth research.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

在前段时间的一次峰会上,碰到几位之前跟我观点对着干的投资人。早前他们一直认定AI会彻底吞掉SaaS,如今大家的看法早已达成一致(还有几位醒悟得早的,成功抄底)。

其实这件事不能靠瞎猜,而是看清背后一个关键逻辑:AI吞噬SaaS的整个理论基础,是假设“基础模型会覆盖整个企业技术栈”。

只要戳破这个论据,整件事就真相大白了。

但这还只是第一层,复盘过往几代技术的迭代脉络,才能真正看清SaaS接下来会走向何方,以及未来的智能企业,究竟是如何构建起来的。

上世纪60年代问世的大型主机,到现在依旧是各大银行的核心底层技术,IBM也靠着这块业务稳稳占据市场,持续拿到可观营收。

客户端服务器(C/S)时代也是一模一样的剧本,Oracle、SAP、微软这批玩家,如今全都长成了企业软件巨头。

要说原生,它们都是当年那波技术浪潮里的原生玩家。

放到互联网时代,SaaS往AI进化的过程,这个路径依旧有效。

由此能得出一个明确结论:各类老系统绝大部分代码不会被彻底舍弃,只会做封装、迁移继续沿用。

放到SaaS身上也是同理,AI只会在上层对SaaS做能力抽象,让原有系统价值进一步放大,演化成全新一代智能SaaS。

觉得AI会彻底换掉SaaS,从根上就想错了。过去二十年,各家企业砸在SaaS上的钱超20万亿美元,这套体系价值厚重、深度扎根业务,替换成本高到根本不现实。

要是这么说还显得空泛,咱们往企业技术栈深挖一层。

事实上,Salesforce、SAP们真正值钱的东西,是底层大量结构化、带标注、沉淀了完整流程的业务数据。里面藏着几十年攒下来的业务规则、行业特殊场景、各类例外处理逻辑,这构成每家企业独有的业务上下文(Business Context)。

不难看出,脱离SaaS的企业AI根本站不住脚,缺少完整业务上下文,搭建出来的Agent就跟得了健忘症一样。而且SaaS耗费十几年搭建完成的权限、审计、合规整套信任体系,AI也没办法直接承接。

每次谈到这里,都会有人提出疑问:现在大模型能力这么强,难道不能自己搭建完整四层业务上下文吗?

现实是,如今大量企业做AI落地,就是因为相信了这一点,最后95%的AI项目以失败告终。

但这不是说大模型没用,而是说只有通用大模型还撑不起企业AI落地,而纯粹的原生AI公司,都存在很大的落地风险。

未来所有垂直领域AI完整技术栈,都由三大核心组成:轻量化开源小模型、全域业务上下文、会话式交互界面。

而SaaS的核心价值,就是提供可靠完整的全域上下文,从而绕开从零开始构建的风险,既能规避大量试错成本,也能大幅提升AI落地成功率。

想要适配这套全新体系,新一代SaaS必须采用无头化架构,这点我在另一篇《SaaS已死,SaaS永生:Agent时代,有头与无头SaaS的终极进化》里详细聊过,这里就不多展开。

注:文/戴珂,文章来源:tobesaas,本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

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