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从“冲销量”到“提效益” 品牌商家为什么在618集体加仓天猫?

作者:小同 文章来源:子弹财经

2026-05-28 09:02

作者:小同 文章来源:子弹财经

2026-05-28 09:02

邦小白快读

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本文核心梳理了今年618电商行业的全新变化,行业整体从过去冲销量换规模转向提效益求稳定盈利,大量品牌商家集体选择加仓天猫,核心干货信息如下

1. 当前电商流量红利已经见顶,获客成本大幅攀升,超过七成商家已经将净利润率列为经营的一号KPI,不再接受亏损换规模的发展模式。

2. 以天猫为代表的货架电商相比内容、直播平台,拥有更低退货率、更高真实净利率,还有超6200万高购买力的88VIP客群,复购率最高可达50%以上,更适合商家做长期稳定经营。

3. 当前行业主流模式已经转变为直播电商负责拉新、货架电商负责留存赚利润,两者形成互补,电商行业整体开始回归长期主义。

本文梳理了当前电商行业的消费趋势、渠道变化,给品牌商经营布局提供了清晰的干货参考,核心内容如下

1. 经营趋势变化:当前流量红利见顶,消费者决策更理性,品牌经营已经从盲目冲GMV规模转向追求稳定净利润率,超七成品牌把净利率列为一号KPI,亏损性的规模扩张已经被品牌主动放弃。

2. 渠道布局干货:天猫是当前盈利性最好的货架电商渠道,渠道真实净利率在12%-15%,退货率仅12%-22%,远低于内容平台,还有超6200万高购买力88VIP,复购率最高能到50%以上,适合沉淀品牌长期资产,做口碑经营。

3. 最优经营模式:品牌可以采用直播电商拉新、天猫做留存复购的互补模式,避开纯价格战,将更多资源投入到产品研发和品牌建设中。

本文给各类电商卖家梳理了当前行业变化、机会风险和可参考的经营方向,干货内容如下

1. 行业整体变化:当前电商流量红利见顶,获客成本激增,行业已经从过去烧钱换规模的阶段,转向追求真实净利润的阶段,超七成卖家已经把净利率列为经营的第一KPI。

2. 机会与风险提示:当前货架电商尤其是天猫是盈利性最好的渠道,相比内容平台,天猫用户搜索带明确需求,成交概率更高,退货损耗更低,能保障稳定净利率,平台还将剔除退款后的GMV作为考核指标,引导商家健康经营;纯内容电商投流容易陷入亏损,需要警惕不投流就没销量的风险。

3. 可参考模式:产品力强的中小卖家可以主打天猫做复购盈利,大卖家可以采用直播拉新加天猫沉淀的组合模式,平衡增长和盈利。

本文给布局电商的工厂梳理了行业需求变化、商业机会和数字化发展的启示,干货内容如下

1. 产品生产与设计需求变化:当前消费者更看重产品质量、品牌口碑,耐用品等品类尤其看重复购,工厂做自有品牌或供货,需要把产品品质放在第一位,靠口碑积累回头客,符合当前市场需求。

2. 新商业机会:当前大量品牌加速向天猫迁徙,今年3-5月新入驻天猫的品牌数量环比暴涨30%,不管工厂是做自有品牌还是给品牌做代工,都可以围绕天猫渠道的需求布局生产,对接品牌需求。

3. 电商转型启示:工厂做电商不要盲目跟风冲GMV烧钱换流量,要优先追求稳定盈利,天猫开放免费的经营数据工具,可以帮助工厂分析用户需求,优化生产设计,靠产品品质积累复购,更容易实现长期稳定发展。

本文梳理了当前电商行业的发展趋势,品牌商家的核心痛点,给服务商指明了新的业务方向,干货内容如下

1. 行业发展新趋势:当前电商行业已经从流量驱动全面转向效益驱动,商家不再盲目追求GMV规模,转而追求真实稳定的净利润,大量品牌商家加速布局天猫货架电商,对精细化运营服务的需求大幅提升。

2. 品牌商家核心痛点:当前内容电商佣金持续上涨,已经从40%涨到60%,获客成本高、退货率高、复购率低,投流换来的大多是过路客,容易陷入不投流就没销量的困境,利润被吞噬,品牌资产难以沉淀。

3. 新业务机会:服务商可以围绕品牌在天猫的精细化运营、用户复购运营、品牌长期资产沉淀推出针对性解决方案,依托天猫开放的经营数据工具,帮品牌降本增效,正好匹配当前商家追求效益的核心需求。

本文梳理了当前品牌商家对电商平台的核心需求,给平台商运营、招商提供了很多参考干货,内容如下

1. 商家核心需求变化:当前商家不再只看重平台的流量规模,更看重稳定的经营利润、低退货损耗、高复购的优质客群,以及能够帮助沉淀长期品牌资产的健康经营环境,对平台考核指标的真实性要求越来越高。

2. 可参考的平台运营做法:天猫率先将剔除退款后的GMV作为核心考核指标,开放免费的经营数据给商家做运营分析,通过机制引导商家回归真实效益,同时打造高购买力高复购的88VIP会员体系,给商家提供稳定客群,这种做法获得了商家的广泛认可。

3. 需要规避的风向:如果平台只追求GMV表面规模,不关注商家真实盈利,会导致商家亏损加剧,逐步流失商家,平台需要调整运营导向,构建不依赖价格战的健康生态,才能留住商家实现长期发展。

本文梳理了当前中国电商行业的最新产业动向,呈现了行业转型的新特征新问题,给产业研究提供了很多干货内容,核心如下

1. 产业最新动向:当前电商行业流量红利见顶,行业整体发展逻辑从冲销量换规模转向提效益求长期发展,超七成商家将净利润率列为经营第一KPI,货架电商重新成为品牌经营的核心阵地,今年3-5月新入驻天猫的品牌数量环比增长30%,大量品牌出现集体向天猫迁徙的趋势。

2. 行业凸显的新问题:内容直播电商存在佣金上涨快、退货率高、复购率低、品牌资产沉淀难的问题,过去行业盲目追求GMV导致商家亏损压力大,价格战挤占了产品研发投入,不利于行业长期健康发展。

3. 商业模式新方向:当前行业逐渐形成直播拉新加货架留存盈利的互补商业模式,平台开始转向以真实效益为核心的考核机制,行业整体回归长期主义,推动商家把资源投入到产品研发和品牌建设中,构建更健康的电商生态。

声明:快读内容全程由AI生成,请注意甄别信息。如您发现问题,请发送邮件至 run@ebrun.com 。

我是 品牌商 卖家 工厂 服务商 平台商 研究者 帮我再读一遍。

Quick Summary

This article outlines the key new shifts in China’s e-commerce industry during this year’s 618 shopping festival. The entire sector has shifted its priority from chasing sales volume to expand scale to improving efficiency and pursuing stable profitability, and a large number of brands are collectively expanding their presence on Tmall. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. E-commerce traffic growth has peaked, and customer acquisition costs have risen sharply. More than 70% of merchants now rank net profit margin as their top KPI, and have abandoned the growth model of sacrificing profits for scale.

2. Compared with content and live streaming platforms, shelf e-commerce represented by Tmall boasts lower return rates and higher actual net profit margins. It also hosts over 62 million high-spending 88VIP members, with repeat purchase rates reaching over 50% for top merchants, making it a more suitable choice for long-term stable operation.

3. The current mainstream industry model has formed a complementary dynamic: live streaming e-commerce handles new customer acquisition, while shelf e-commerce takes charge of user retention and profit generation. The entire industry is shifting back to long-term-oriented operation.

This article summarizes current consumer trends and channel shifts in China’s e-commerce industry, providing actionable insights for brands’ operational and layout planning. Core takeaways are as follows:

1. Changing operational trends: With traffic growth peaking and consumer decision-making becoming more rational, brands have shifted from blindly chasing GMV scale to pursuing stable net profit margins. More than 70% of brands now rank net profit margin as their top KPI, and have voluntarily abandoned loss-making scale expansion.

2. Key insights for channel layout: Tmall is currently the most profitable shelf e-commerce channel, with actual net profit margins ranging from 12% to 15% and return rates between 12% and 22% — far lower than those of content platforms. It also has more than 62 million high-spending 88VIP members, with repeat purchase rates exceeding 50% for top merchants, making it ideal for building long-term brand equity and cultivating brand reputation.

3. Optimal operational model: Brands can adopt a complementary model of using live streaming e-commerce for new customer acquisition, and Tmall for user retention and repeat purchases. This approach allows brands to avoid pure price competition and reallocate more resources to product R&D and brand building.

This article sorts out current industry changes, opportunities, risks and actionable operational directions for all types of e-commerce sellers. Key insights are as follows:

1. Overall industry change: E-commerce traffic growth has peaked, and customer acquisition costs have surged. The industry has shifted from the era of burning cash for scale to prioritizing actual net profit, and more than 70% of sellers now rank net profit margin as their top KPI.

2. Opportunity and risk alerts: Shelf e-commerce, especially Tmall, is currently the most profitable channel. Compared with content platforms, Tmall users search with clear purchase intent, leading to higher conversion rates, lower return losses and stable net profit margins. The platform also uses GMV net of refunds as an assessment metric, guiding merchants toward healthy operation. Pure content e-commerce, by contrast, easily leads to losses from ad spending, and sellers should be alert to the risk of collapsing sales when ad spending stops.

3. Recommended operational models: Small and medium-sized sellers with strong product competitiveness can focus on Tmall to drive profitability through repeat purchases, while larger sellers can adopt a combined model of live streaming for new customer acquisition and Tmall for user retention, balancing growth and profitability.

This article sorts out shifting consumer demand, new business opportunities and digital transformation insights for factories operating in e-commerce. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Shifts in product design and production demand: Consumers now place greater value on product quality and brand reputation, and repeat purchases are especially critical for durable goods categories. Whether factories are building their own brands or supplying other brands, they must prioritize product quality to cultivate repeat customers through word-of-mouth, aligning with current market demand.

2. New business opportunities: A large number of brands are accelerating their migration to Tmall, with the number of newly settled brands on Tmall from March to May this year surging 30% month-on-month. Whether factories operate their own brands or work as OEMs for other brands, they can align production with the demand of the Tmall channel and connect directly with brand needs.

3. Insights for e-commerce transformation: Factories entering e-commerce should not blindly follow the trend of chasing GMV by burning cash for traffic. Instead, they should prioritize stable profitability. Tmall offers free business data tools that help factories analyze user demand, optimize product design and production, and build long-term stable growth through quality-driven repeat purchases.

This article summarizes current development trends of China’s e-commerce industry and the core pain points of brand merchants, pointing out new business directions for service providers. Key insights are as follows:

1. New industry development trends: The e-commerce industry has fully shifted from being traffic-driven to efficiency-driven. Merchants no longer blindly pursue GMV scale, and instead prioritize stable and actual net profit. A large number of brands are accelerating their layout on Tmall’s shelf e-commerce, leading to surging demand for refined operation services.

2. Core pain points for brands: Content e-commerce commissions have continued to rise, growing from 40% to 60%. High customer acquisition costs, high return rates and low repeat purchase rates mean most customers acquired via ad spending are one-time, leaving brands trapped in the cycle of collapsing sales without ad spending. Profits are eroded, and it is difficult to accumulate long-term brand equity.

3. New business opportunities: Service providers can develop targeted solutions for brands’ refined operation on Tmall, repeat customer management and long-term brand equity building. Leveraging Tmall’s open business data tools to help brands cut costs and improve efficiency, this aligns perfectly with merchants’ current core demand for better profitability.

This article sorts out brands’ core demands for e-commerce platforms, providing plenty of actionable insights for platform operation and merchant recruitment. Core takeaways are as follows:

1. Shifts in merchants’ core demands: Merchants no longer only value a platform’s total traffic volume. They now attach greater importance to stable operating profits, low return losses, high-quality high-repeat-purchase customer groups, and a healthy operating environment that supports long-term brand equity building, with growing requirements for transparent, accurate platform assessment metrics.

2. Recommended platform operation practices: Tmall was the first to adopt GMV net of refunds as its core assessment metric, opens free business data to merchants for operational analysis, and guides merchants to focus on actual profitability through mechanism design. It has also built the high-spending, high-repeat-purchase 88VIP membership program to provide brands with a stable source of high-value customers, a model that has won broad recognition from merchants.

3. Pitfalls to avoid: If a platform only pursues superficial GMV scale and ignores merchants’ actual profitability, it will exacerbate merchant losses and lead to gradual merchant attrition. Platforms need to adjust their operational orientation, build a healthy ecosystem not reliant on price wars, to retain merchants and achieve long-term development.

This article sorts out the latest industry developments in China’s e-commerce sector, outlines new characteristics and emerging issues of the ongoing industry transformation, and provides rich insights for industrial research. Core findings are as follows:

1. Latest industry developments: With traffic growth peaking, the overall development logic of the e-commerce industry has shifted from chasing sales volume for scale to improving efficiency for long-term growth. More than 70% of merchants rank net profit margin as their top operational KPI. Shelf e-commerce has retaken its position as the core position for brand operation, with the number of newly settled brands on Tmall growing 30% month-on-month from March to May this year, indicating a collective migration of brands to the platform.

2. New emerging industry issues: Live streaming and content e-commerce face problems of rapidly rising commissions, high return rates, low repeat purchases and difficulty accumulating brand equity. The industry’s past blind pursuit of GMV has left merchants under severe profit pressure, and price wars have squeezed out investment in product R&D, which is not conducive to the long-term healthy development of the industry.

3. New direction for business models: The industry is gradually forming a complementary business model of live streaming for new customer acquisition and shelf e-commerce for retention and profit. Platforms are shifting to assessment mechanisms centered on actual profitability, and the entire industry is returning to long-term orientation. This is pushing merchants to reallocate resources to product R&D and brand building, helping build a healthier e-commerce ecosystem.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

在动辄卷生卷死的家纺赛道,一家SKU并不算多的天猫品牌店,却凭借长期稳定的优质供给,实现了难得的稳定盈利。

有人一口气买了7条真丝枕巾,说两套房子都要住,干脆一次买齐;有人在女儿留学前直接在店里买了全套寝具,甚至半开玩笑地说孩子结婚会再买一次。依靠口碑,店铺就像滚雪球一样积攒起源源不断的回头客。

“像丝巾、枕套这类耐用品,消费者不可能每个月都换新,店铺口碑就很重要。”这家品牌店的负责人坦诚而直接,“不仅如此,在天猫,用户在搜索商品时就带着明确的购买需求,因此成交概率更高,而且相比内容平台的冲动消费,退货损耗更低,净利率往往更有保障,这一点在618这种年度大促中体现得尤其明显。”

这种把网店做成实体店一样的复购频率且稳定盈利的模式,在天猫并不少见。事实上,作为品牌经营的第一阵地,天猫在今年618期间,凭借稳定的利润和复购,帮助品牌穿越行业周期,获得更好的经营效益。

01 告别GMV迷信,效益重回经营新重点

上述受访人还表示,今年618行业内部发生了一个显著的新变化,即商家不再盲目地迷信表面GMV,而是开始算起经营效益这笔账,将关注重点转向了更务实的净利润率和可持续经营。

商家之所以在过去看起来轻视利润,主要还是因为面对市场增长,更愿意“烧钱换规模”。但在流量红利见顶、获客成本激增的今天,继续盲目投流只会牺牲利润,商家开始不约而同地追求稳定的利润率。

在投资社区雪球网中广为流传的一份《618大促专家纪要》也证实了这一论断。据该文章受访者介绍,在自己的合作商家中,超七成都把净利润率列为今年一号KPI。

与之对照的是,另一位亿级女装卖家也对「子弹财经」表示,其实企业在去年已将大部分预算投回天猫等货架电商进行精细化运营。原因也不难理解,现在货架电商的有效利润更高。

近日,丸美董事长孙怀庆近期接受上海证券报采访时也表示,“今年公司所有增长必须以盈利为前提,亏损的业务与渠道,即便能带来规模扩张,我们也坚决不做。”

孙怀庆明确表示,“优先保障盈利能力较强的货架电商稳定增长,收缩内容电商中亏损业务板块,持续放大盈利板块规模”。

事实上,亏损的压力,早已让商家们喘不过气,商家对经营效益的重视以及向货架的倾斜,要远远早于今年的618周期。公开数据显示,仅今年3月至5月期间,新入驻天猫的品牌数量就环比暴涨了30%。

从参半母公司推出新锐品牌“重点POINZ”,到Balenciaga开设美妆双店,再到柯达KODAR联合泡泡玛特旗下IP小野推出潮流服饰,越来越多的电商品牌已经在天猫开启了品牌迁徙。

在这个进程中,潮玩巨头泡泡玛特的反应更为直接,其在2025年年报里甚至明确指出其已经在强化天猫顾客的差异化运营。

可以说,无论是普通商家还是行业巨头,利润都已成为商家衡量经营状况的第一要素,而以天猫为代表的货架电商,正是其中当之无愧的主战场。

02 货架成了绝对C位,一本不难算的账

在很多商家眼中,天猫在货架电商阵营中的核心地位几乎无可替代,这不仅源于其强大的品牌国民度,更源于其沉淀了中国电商行业中最优质的稳定客群之一。

对此,一位品牌负责人对「子弹财经」表示:“对于想要长期发展的品牌来说,天猫的核心优势在于确定性和经营深度,而且天猫拥有超6200万购买力极强的88VIP会员,他们的人均年度消费额是非会员的9倍,其中天猫双11行业头部品牌70%以上的成交都由88VIP贡献。”

以上言论颇具代表性。因为这种“确定性”,正是天猫最吸引商家的特质之一。

据雪球网《618大促专家纪要》介绍,在头部电商平台中,天猫的渠道净利率普遍在12%至15%区间,稳居行业第一。难得的是,这还已经是刨除了推广费、佣金抽成以及退货折损后的真实净利。

更重要的是,88VIP会员的复购率大概在38%至45%之间,甚至美妆保健品类能达到50%以上,这对愈发追求稳定收益的商家而言,显然是一个巨大的经营红利。

一家日用品商家也对「子弹财经」表示,像自己这种品牌力尚不足、但产品“能打”的店铺,最看重的就是复购,所以天猫一直都是自己的经营重点。

再例如,在防晒衣这个品类,据久谦中台数据,“在2025年二季度,抖音贡献约34.03亿元,占当季销售额的55.9%,适合放大冲动购买和新品兴趣;到2026年一季度,天猫占比回升至64.8%,显示成熟期的复购更多依赖搜索、品牌店铺、评价和交易可靠性”。

除了复购,退货也是商家关注的另一个关键点。据行业人士向「子弹财经」透露,高退货率的影响往往是连锁式的,不仅会直接损失利润,造成库存周转困难、加剧资金周转压力,往往也会进一步影响到店铺的经营质量得分,让商家陷入亏损的下行循环。

相比之下,天猫在退货率指标上的优异表现,为其确立了巨大的渠道优势。

目前,天猫、京东搜索场景的退货率通常在12%—22%,已是综合表现最好的平台。“低退货”优势再配合“高复购”,可帮助品牌锁住合理利润、实现长效经营。

在提供高质量消费客群的同时,天猫也在平台考核机制上发力,在运营层面引导品牌“主动挤水”、回归效益。

例如,在去年618期间,天猫首开行业先河,将“剔除退款后的GMV”作为一项核心考核指标。这不仅体现了平台追求真实交易价值的决心,更是在引导商家转变经营策略,帮商家守住利润,把生意做得更扎实。

基于以上一系列优势,在相当数量的商家眼中,天猫已然成为品牌经营效益和商家体验最好的平台。

03 不只要新客,更要沉淀品牌长期资产

当经营效益上升为商家的业务重点,越来越多的商家开始考虑到底要将经营的重心放在哪里。

据《第一财经》报道,欧佩莱创始人周彦在2025年年末的一场论坛上表示,(美妆类)达人直播的佣金比例越来越高,仅1年时间,就从2024年的40%提升至2025年的60%。

这种“佣金吞噬利润”的现象,其实指向的是部分品牌在“买量时代”中实现跨越发展,但品牌资产依旧有薄弱的顽疾,甚至出现“不投流就没销量”的尴尬局面。

以睡眠品牌“零点记忆”为例,其在全面拥抱直播电商投流后,获得了短期的巨大增长,但品牌操盘手杨康却在经营实践中发现,很多用户在直播间看到产品,往往会主动搜索天猫旗舰店的粉丝数、评价与销量,用一种“跨平台验证”的行为来验证品牌。

天猫平台,已经可以反哺其他平台的转化。因此,在今年618前夕,杨康公开发出了“我们要重做天猫”的宣言。

对此,一位受访人对「子弹财经」表示,“天猫旗舰店本身就是巨大的品牌背书,而且天猫提供了最全的经营工具和数据支持来帮助商家降本增效,至今没有任何一个平台免费让商家可以拿到这么多经营数据展开运营分析。”

而另一位家居商家的表达则更为直接:“在内容平台上,我们投流换来的往往都是过路客,在天猫,我们可以被那些真正喜欢我们产品的优质顾客发现,把一次性的交易变成可以复购的长期关系,这其实是一门面向熟客的生意,所以我们对天猫的评价标准一直都是从长期视角来看的。”

在电商商家愈发重视天猫的同时,头部品牌也展现出高度的一致性,加速了在天猫的战略布局。

从Balenciaga开设美妆双店,到经典影像品牌KODAK柯达跨界服饰领域并与泡泡玛特联名,再到JACK&JONES通过开设户外旗舰店,各大品牌动作频频背后,都是看中了天猫在品牌力建设与长期资产沉淀上的不可替代性。

归根到底,只有头部货架电商,才能为品牌解决“被信任”与“高复购”的留存难题,实现盈利结构的进一步优化,最终实现经营效益的全面提升。

04 结语

电商竞争的本质,永远都是围绕价格、体验、服务展开。

商家加仓天猫,并不意味着放弃货架之外的其他模式,而是针对品牌长期建设进行了重新梳理:直播电商可以高效拉新,货架电商则可以将购买行为进化为理性购买,实现利润增长和长期复购,二者形成互补。

从长远来看,只有构建一个不以价格战为驱动力的电商生态,才能让商家把资源重新投入到产品研发和服务升级上。

就这个层面而言,回归效益、加仓天猫,不仅是品牌在618期间做出的一致抉择,其实是电商行业回归长期主义的开始。

注:文/小同,文章来源:子弹财经,本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

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FAQ回顾

2024年618大促期间,品牌商家经营重点发生了哪些变化?

经营重点从盲目追求GMV转向更务实的净利润率和可持续经营。超过七成商家将净利润率列为首要KPI,并开始向天猫等货架电商倾斜预算,以实现更有效的利润。

天猫平台在退货率和复购率方面有哪些具体优势?

天猫搜索场景退货率在12%-22%,为行业较低水平。其88VIP会员复购率在38%-45%之间,美妆保健品类可达50%以上,为商家提供了高确定性的稳定客群和经营红利。

品牌商家为什么在618期间选择加仓天猫?

主要基于三点:一是天猫渠道净利率普遍在12%-15%,行业领先;二是拥有超6200万高消费力88VIP会员,复购率高;三是平台将“剔除退款后的GMV”作为核心考核,引导商家回归真实效益。

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